May 3, 2025
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Juliana Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 952 | 953 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Juliana Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 956 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Juliana Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Juliana Miller earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Juliana Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 933 | 955 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Ivana Petrovic lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Juliana Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Juliana Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:47 | 8:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -108 | +108 |
Juliana Miller controlled Ivana Petrovic on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 8:10 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Juliana Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 631 |
| Activity ELO | 957 | 995 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Juliana Miller demonstrated extended layoff with 631 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Juliana Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Ivana Petrovic's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Juliana Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Juliana Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ivana Petrovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Juliana Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 956 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.