July 22, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | JC Cottrell | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Michel Prazeres's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Prazeres for the expected result. Had JC Cottrell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | JC Cottrell | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | JC Cottrell | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Michel Prazeres earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | JC Cottrell | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Michel Prazeres controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 39 total strikes, 48 vs 14 significant strikes, 62.3% vs 26.4% accuracy. Michel Prazeres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | JC Cottrell | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:26 | 6:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Michel Prazeres dominated JC Cottrell on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 6:43 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | JC Cottrell | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Michel Prazeres demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michel Prazeres capitalized on this activity level, while JC Cottrell's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | JC Cottrell | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Michel Prazeres extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. JC Cottrell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | JC Cottrell | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

