December 8, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Juliana Lima's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Juliana Lima for the expected result. Had JJ Aldrich pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Juliana Lima earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 124 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 111 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Juliana Lima controlled the striking exchanges with 90 vs 111 total strikes, 56 vs 31 significant strikes. Juliana Lima capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 7:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 941 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Juliana Lima controlled JJ Aldrich on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 7:04 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Juliana Lima demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Juliana Lima capitalized on this activity level, while JJ Aldrich's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Juliana Lima started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. JJ Aldrich is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.