August 25, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
JJ Aldrich's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding JJ Aldrich for the expected result. Had Liang Na pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:49 | 4:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 107 | 883 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -25 |
JJ Aldrich gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 015 | 765 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
JJ Aldrich controlled the striking exchanges with 68 vs 27 total strikes, 47 vs 11 significant strikes, 72.3% vs 26.8% accuracy. JJ Aldrich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:11 | 1:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 37 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 126 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
JJ Aldrich controlled Liang Na on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:11 of control time, 37 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 441 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -14 |
JJ Aldrich demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, JJ Aldrich capitalized on this activity level, while Liang Na's 441-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
JJ Aldrich started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Liang Na is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.