JJ Aldrich vs Montana De La Rosa

October 6, 2023

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1103
(+33)
JJ Aldrich
Winner: JJ Aldrich
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

JJ Aldrich+33
Montana De La Rosa-23
1027
(-23)
Montana De La Rosa

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
JJ Aldrich: +28Montana De La Rosa: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricJJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Total UFC Fights1411
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 095995
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

JJ Aldrich's 3-fight experience advantage (14 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding JJ Aldrich for the expected result. Had Montana De La Rosa pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
JJ Aldrich: +19Montana De La Rosa: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 061994
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
JJ Aldrich: +41Montana De La Rosa: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricJJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1481 060
ELO Change+41-41
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What Happened

JJ Aldrich earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
JJ Aldrich: +23Montana De La Rosa: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Significant Strikes Landed6567
Significant Strikes Attempted135204
Total Strikes Landed6670
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0381 030
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Montana De La Rosa controlled the striking through superior accuracy (32.8% vs 48.1%). However, since Montana De La Rosa lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. JJ Aldrich's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
JJ Aldrich: +21Montana De La Rosa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:220:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1471 094
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
JJ Aldrich: +94Montana De La Rosa: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Days Since Last Fight42224
Activity ELO1 1891 038
ELO Change+94-19
💡

What Happened

JJ Aldrich demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 42 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, JJ Aldrich capitalized on this activity level, while Montana De La Rosa's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
JJ Aldrich: +23Montana De La Rosa: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0871 009
ELO Change+23-19
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What Happened

JJ Aldrich extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Montana De La Rosa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
JJ Aldrich: +19Montana De La Rosa: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 061994
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.