August 3, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
JJ Aldrich's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding JJ Aldrich for the expected result. Had Polyana Viana pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 095 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
JJ Aldrich earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Polyana Viana controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (86 vs 50 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (46 vs 40), superior accuracy (35.7% vs 48.2%). However, since Polyana Viana lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. JJ Aldrich's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:57 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 043 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
JJ Aldrich slightly outworked Polyana Viana on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:57 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 202 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
JJ Aldrich demonstrated standard activity with 202 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, JJ Aldrich capitalized on this activity level, while Polyana Viana's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
JJ Aldrich extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Polyana Viana is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Polyana Viana |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.