January 17, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 027 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +47 |
Sabina Mazo overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran JJ Aldrich.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 071 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sabina Mazo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 118 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 323 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 969 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Sabina Mazo dominated the striking exchanges with 121 vs 69 total strikes, 118 vs 58 significant strikes. Sabina Mazo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 2:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 018 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Sabina Mazo did not secure a significant ground advantage against JJ Aldrich on the ground with 2:01 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +41 |
Sabina Mazo demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sabina Mazo capitalized on this activity level, while JJ Aldrich's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Sabina Mazo extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. JJ Aldrich is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | JJ Aldrich | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.