September 17, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | JP Buys | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 937 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Montel Jackson's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Montel Jackson for the expected result. Had JP Buys pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | JP Buys | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | JP Buys | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 932 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Montel Jackson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | JP Buys | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 4 |
| Striking ELO | 780 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Montel Jackson dominated the striking exchanges with 91 vs 39 total strikes, 25 vs 8 significant strikes, 58.1% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 4 devastating knockdowns. Montel Jackson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | JP Buys | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:20 | 10:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 886 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Montel Jackson landed 4 knockdowns followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | JP Buys | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +17 |
Montel Jackson demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Montel Jackson capitalized on this activity level, while JP Buys's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | JP Buys | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Montel Jackson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. JP Buys is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | JP Buys | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.