April 26, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 294 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +55 |
Jack Hermansson overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jacare Souza.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 125 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 600 | 1 469 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Jack Hermansson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 90 | 148 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 175 | 372 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 256 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 488 | 1 410 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Jack Hermansson dominated the striking exchanges with 256 vs 120 total strikes, 148 vs 90 significant strikes, 39.8% vs 51.4% accuracy. Jack Hermansson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 6:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 400 | 1 451 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Jack Hermansson controlled Jacare Souza on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:52 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 28 |
| Activity ELO | 1 268 | 1 381 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +189 |
Jack Hermansson demonstrated exceptional activity with 28 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Jack Hermansson capitalized on this activity level, while Jacare Souza's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 178 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +37 |
Jack Hermansson extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jacare Souza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 113 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.