Jacare Souza vs Jan Blachowicz

November 15, 2019

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1278
(-30)
Jacare Souza
Winner: Jan Blachowicz
Decision - Split
Round 5 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jacare Souza-30
Jan Blachowicz+34
1256
(+34)
Jan Blachowicz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -43Jan Blachowicz: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaJan Blachowicz
Total UFC Fights1413
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 2511 211
ELO Change-43+45
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -24Jan Blachowicz: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaJan Blachowicz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1011 096
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -16Jan Blachowicz: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaJan Blachowicz
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round55
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 5841 435
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jan Blachowicz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -63Jan Blachowicz: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaJan Blachowicz
Significant Strikes Landed2071
Significant Strikes Attempted48170
Total Strikes Landed56105
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4251 428
ELO Change-63+63
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What Happened

Jan Blachowicz controlled the striking exchanges with 105 vs 56 total strikes, 71 vs 20 significant strikes. Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -25Jan Blachowicz: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaJan Blachowicz
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time8:250:04
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3751 356
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

Jan Blachowicz did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jacare Souza on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -22Jan Blachowicz: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaJan Blachowicz
Days Since Last Fight204134
Activity ELO1 2461 292
ELO Change-22+44
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What Happened

Jan Blachowicz demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this activity level, while Jacare Souza's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -25Jan Blachowicz: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaJan Blachowicz
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 1531 140
ELO Change-25+30
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What Happened

Jan Blachowicz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jacare Souza is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -24Jan Blachowicz: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaJan Blachowicz
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0891 090
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.