December 11, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 208 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +57 |
Kevin Holland overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jacare Souza.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:45 | 1:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 511 | 1 424 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +176 |
Kevin Holland earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 281 | 1 469 |
| ELO Change | -144 | +144 |
Kevin Holland edged the striking exchanges with 15 vs 2 significant strikes, 83.3% vs 100.0% accuracy. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:27 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 340 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Kevin Holland did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jacare Souza on the ground with 0 takedowns, 12 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 42 |
| Activity ELO | 1 228 | 1 387 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +89 |
Kevin Holland demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 42 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Jacare Souza's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +43 |
Kevin Holland continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jacare Souza's now at 0.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.