May 13, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 299 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -34 |
Jacare Souza overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Vitor Belfort.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 121 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:38 | 4:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 494 | 1 537 |
| ELO Change | +148 | -69 |
Jacare Souza earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 517 | 1 394 |
| ELO Change | +188 | -188 |
Jacare Souza controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 5 total strikes, 39 vs 4 significant strikes, 70.9% vs 80.0% accuracy. Jacare Souza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:11 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 36 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 487 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Jacare Souza controlled Vitor Belfort on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:11 of control time, 36 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 244 | 1 364 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -32 |
Jacare Souza demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jacare Souza capitalized on this activity level, while Vitor Belfort's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 165 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Jacare Souza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vitor Belfort is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jacare Souza | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 117 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

