Jacare Souza vs Yoel Romero

December 11, 2015

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1232
(-23)
Jacare Souza
Winner: Yoel Romero
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jacare Souza-23
Yoel Romero+29
1321
(+29)
Yoel Romero

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -29Yoel Romero: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaYoel Romero
Total UFC Fights67
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 2311 315
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -20Yoel Romero: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaYoel Romero
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0921 155
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -7Yoel Romero: +7

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaYoel Romero
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3461 486
ELO Change-7+7
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Yoel Romero receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -43Yoel Romero: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaYoel Romero
Significant Strikes Landed3046
Significant Strikes Attempted5292
Total Strikes Landed4256
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 3291 524
ELO Change-43+43
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What Happened

Yoel Romero controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 30 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yoel Romero capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -30Yoel Romero: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaYoel Romero
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted71
Ground Control Time2:331:58
Ground Strikes Landed822
Ground ELO1 4371 401
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Yoel Romero did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jacare Souza on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:58 of control time, 22 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -19Yoel Romero: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaYoel Romero
Days Since Last Fight239169
Activity ELO1 1881 271
ELO Change-19+33
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What Happened

Yoel Romero demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yoel Romero capitalized on this activity level, while Jacare Souza's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -17Yoel Romero: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaYoel Romero
Win Streak07
Win Streak ELO1 1371 264
ELO Change-17+51
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What Happened

Yoel Romero continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jacare Souza's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jacare Souza: -20Yoel Romero: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJacare SouzaYoel Romero
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0921 152
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.