February 10, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack Della Maddalena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 200 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -44 |
Jack Della Maddalena overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Randy Brown.
| Metric | Jack Della Maddalena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack Della Maddalena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:13 | 2:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 374 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -56 |
Jack Della Maddalena earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jack Della Maddalena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 381 | 1 281 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Jack Della Maddalena controlled the striking exchanges with 45.2% vs 28.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack Della Maddalena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 288 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +151 | -151 |
Jack Della Maddalena dominated Randy Brown on the ground with 0:15 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jack Della Maddalena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 204 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -30 |
Jack Della Maddalena demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Brown's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Della Maddalena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 117 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -26 |
Jack Della Maddalena extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jack Della Maddalena | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 090 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.