September 27, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 227 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +42 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 087 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:27 | 0:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 414 | 1 468 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +114 |
Jared Cannonier gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 296 | 1 443 |
| ELO Change | -114 | +114 |
Jared Cannonier controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 20 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jared Cannonier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 1 403 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Jared Cannonier did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jack Hermansson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:22 of control time, 17 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 347 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +69 |
Jared Cannonier demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Cannonier capitalized on this activity level, while Jack Hermansson's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 123 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Jared Cannonier extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jack Hermansson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.