December 4, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 234 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +51 |
Marvin Vettori overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jack Hermansson.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 087 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 439 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Marvin Vettori earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 122 | 164 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 346 | 334 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 139 | 202 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 263 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Marvin Vettori dominated the striking exchanges with 202 vs 139 total strikes, 164 vs 122 significant strikes, 49.1% vs 35.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marvin Vettori capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 5:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 341 | 1 388 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Marvin Vettori landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 332 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +58 |
Marvin Vettori demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marvin Vettori capitalized on this activity level, while Jack Hermansson's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +34 |
Marvin Vettori extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jack Hermansson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.