December 2, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 214 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +67 |
Roman Dolidze overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jack Hermansson.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 411 | 1 406 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +131 |
Roman Dolidze gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 268 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Jack Hermansson controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (47 vs 25), superior accuracy (59.5% vs 46.3%). However, since Jack Hermansson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Roman Dolidze's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:52 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 329 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Roman Dolidze did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jack Hermansson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:30 of control time, 12 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 36 |
| Activity ELO | 1 328 | 1 320 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +160 |
Roman Dolidze demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 36 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Roman Dolidze capitalized on this activity level, while Jack Hermansson's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +34 |
Roman Dolidze extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jack Hermansson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 084 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.