February 4, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 230 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 089 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 452 | 1 451 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sean Strickland receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 137 | 153 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 353 | 330 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 137 | 161 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 285 | 1 410 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Sean Strickland controlled the striking exchanges with 161 vs 137 total strikes, 153 vs 137 significant strikes. Sean Strickland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 358 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Sean Strickland did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jack Hermansson on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 260 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 332 | 1 405 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Sean Strickland demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean Strickland capitalized on this activity level, while Jack Hermansson's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +41 |
Sean Strickland continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jack Hermansson's now at 0.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 087 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

