May 11, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -37 |
Jack Hermansson overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thales Leites.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:10 | 2:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 288 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -58 |
Jack Hermansson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 228 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Jack Hermansson controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 20 total strikes, 35 vs 11 significant strikes. Jack Hermansson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:06 | 7:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 137 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Jack Hermansson controlled Thales Leites on the ground with 3 takedowns, 2:06 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -32 |
Jack Hermansson demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jack Hermansson capitalized on this activity level, while Thales Leites's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Jack Hermansson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thales Leites is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jack Hermansson | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.