November 18, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Jack Marshman overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Magnus Cedenblad.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:40 | 3:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 133 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +133 | -65 |
Jack Marshman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 166 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +166 | -166 |
Jack Marshman dominated the striking exchanges with 50 vs 78 total strikes, 42 vs 36 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jack Marshman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 4:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Jack Marshman landed 2 knockdowns followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Jack Marshman demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jack Marshman capitalized on this activity level, while Magnus Cedenblad's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Jack Marshman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Magnus Cedenblad is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.