July 15, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 091 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 133 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Jack Marshman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 75 | 83 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 217 | 189 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 119 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Ryan Janes controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (119 vs 83 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (83 vs 75). However, since Ryan Janes lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jack Marshman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 994 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Jack Marshman did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ryan Janes on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 050 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -20 |
Jack Marshman demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jack Marshman capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Janes's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jack Marshman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Janes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jack Marshman | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.