August 15, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jack May | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 952 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Shawn Jordan's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Shawn Jordan for the expected result. Had Jack May pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jack May | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jack May | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:03 | 2:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 941 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +34 |
Shawn Jordan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jack May | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 862 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Shawn Jordan dominated the striking exchanges with 77 vs 22 total strikes, 32 vs 20 significant strikes, 59.3% vs 33.9% accuracy. Shawn Jordan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jack May | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 5:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 897 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Shawn Jordan controlled Jack May on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:17 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jack May | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +29 |
Shawn Jordan demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Shawn Jordan capitalized on this activity level, while Jack May's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jack May | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +20 |
Shawn Jordan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jack May is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jack May | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.