January 1, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 951 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Martin Kampmann's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Martin Kampmann for the expected result. Had Jacob Volkmann pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:03 | 4:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +33 |
Martin Kampmann earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 894 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Martin Kampmann controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Martin Kampmann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 1:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 920 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Martin Kampmann dominated Jacob Volkmann on the ground with 1:44 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 42 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 970 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +29 |
Martin Kampmann demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Martin Kampmann capitalized on this activity level, while Jacob Volkmann's 42-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 965 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +16 |
Martin Kampmann started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jacob Volkmann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.