July 31, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -41 |
Jacob Volkmann overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paul Kelly.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 027 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Jacob Volkmann earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 977 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Jacob Volkmann edged the striking exchanges with 32 vs 24 significant strikes. Jacob Volkmann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:52 | 3:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 24 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 129 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Jacob Volkmann controlled Paul Kelly on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 7:52 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 123 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 087 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -25 |
Jacob Volkmann demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jacob Volkmann capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Kelly's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 019 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Jacob Volkmann extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Kelly is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.