May 25, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +46 |
Paul Sass overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jacob Volkmann.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:54 | 1:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 085 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +78 |
Paul Sass earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 048 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:31 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 170 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Paul Sass edged out Jacob Volkmann on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 138 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +35 |
Paul Sass demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Paul Sass capitalized on this activity level, while Jacob Volkmann's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Paul Sass extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jacob Volkmann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jacob Volkmann | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.