Jacob Volkmann vs Paulo Thiago

Paulo Thiago's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paulo Thiago for the expected result. Had Jacob Volkmann pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Paulo Thiago earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Paulo Thiago dominated the striking exchanges with 53 vs 83 total strikes, 34 vs 16 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Paulo Thiago capitalized on this striking dominance.

Paulo Thiago edged out Jacob Volkmann on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 6:00 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Paulo Thiago demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paulo Thiago capitalized on this activity level, while Jacob Volkmann's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Paulo Thiago started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jacob Volkmann is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.