February 21, 2026
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Josiah Harrell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 164 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Jacobe Smith's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jacobe Smith for the expected result. Had Josiah Harrell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Josiah Harrell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Josiah Harrell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:01 | 3:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 241 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -20 |
Jacobe Smith earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Josiah Harrell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 194 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Jacobe Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 7 total strikes, 33 vs 7 significant strikes, 70.2% vs 50.0% accuracy. Jacobe Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Josiah Harrell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 216 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jacobe Smith controlled Josiah Harrell on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:21 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Josiah Harrell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Jacobe Smith demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jacobe Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Josiah Harrell's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Josiah Harrell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Jacobe Smith extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josiah Harrell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Josiah Harrell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.