June 28, 2025
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 145 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -32 |
Jacobe Smith overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Niko Price.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:03 | 4:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 197 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -56 |
Jacobe Smith earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:03, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Niko Price was submitted.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 133 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Jacobe Smith edged the striking exchanges with 73 vs 46 total strikes, 46 vs 34 significant strikes. Jacobe Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:41 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 182 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -114 |
Jacobe Smith dominated Niko Price on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:41 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -30 |
Jacobe Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jacobe Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Niko Price's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Jacobe Smith extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Niko Price is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jacobe Smith | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.