March 15, 2024
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jafel Filho | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -27 |
Jafel Filho overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ode Osbourne.
| Metric | Jafel Filho | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jafel Filho | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:27 | 4:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -42 |
Jafel Filho earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jafel Filho | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 102 | 833 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -97 |
Jafel Filho controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 1 total strikes, 21 vs 0 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Jafel Filho capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jafel Filho | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:21 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 758 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Jafel Filho dominated Ode Osbourne on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:21 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jafel Filho | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Jafel Filho demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jafel Filho capitalized on this activity level, while Ode Osbourne's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jafel Filho | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Jafel Filho extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ode Osbourne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jafel Filho | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.