October 22, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Khama Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -39 |
Jai Herbert overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Khama Worthy.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Khama Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Khama Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:47 | 2:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -56 |
Jai Herbert earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Khama Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 015 | 801 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -105 |
Jai Herbert controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 11 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jai Herbert capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Khama Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 950 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Khama Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 037 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -22 |
Jai Herbert demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jai Herbert capitalized on this activity level, while Khama Worthy's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Khama Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Jai Herbert started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Khama Worthy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Khama Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.