Jai Herbert vs Mandel Nallo

April 18, 2026

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1052
(+46)
Jai Herbert
Winner: Jai Herbert
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:05

C-ELO Evolution

Jai Herbert+46
Mandel Nallo-41
959
(-41)
Mandel Nallo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: +32Mandel Nallo: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertMandel Nallo
Total UFC Fights101
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 032969
ELO Change+32-31
💡

What Happened

Jai Herbert's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jai Herbert for the expected result. Had Mandel Nallo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: +22Mandel Nallo: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertMandel Nallo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 002978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: +73Mandel Nallo: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertMandel Nallo
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:052:05
Win Type ELO1 153968
ELO Change+73-32
💡

What Happened

Jai Herbert earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: +125Mandel Nallo: -125

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertMandel Nallo
Significant Strikes Landed1916
Significant Strikes Attempted2831
Total Strikes Landed3016
Knockdowns Scored21
Striking ELO1 129875
ELO Change+125-125
💡

What Happened

Jai Herbert dominated the striking exchanges with 67.9% vs 51.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jai Herbert capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: +56Mandel Nallo: -56

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertMandel Nallo
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:270:10
Ground Strikes Landed120
Ground ELO1 036944
ELO Change+56-56
💡

What Happened

Jai Herbert landed 2 knockdowns followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: +17Mandel Nallo: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertMandel Nallo
Days Since Last Fight392N/A
Activity ELO1 051981
ELO Change+17-19
💡

What Happened

Jai Herbert demonstrated extended layoff with 392 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jai Herbert capitalized on this activity level, while Mandel Nallo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: +24Mandel Nallo: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertMandel Nallo
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 015978
ELO Change+24-22
💡

What Happened

Jai Herbert started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mandel Nallo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: +22Mandel Nallo: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertMandel Nallo
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 001978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.