Jai Herbert vs Renato Moicano

June 25, 2021

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

954
(-31)
Jai Herbert
Winner: Renato Moicano
Submission
Round 2 • 4:34

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jai Herbert-31
Renato Moicano+34
1129
(+34)
Renato Moicano

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: -17Renato Moicano: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertRenato Moicano
Total UFC Fights211
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO9701 171
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano's 9-fight experience advantage (11 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Renato Moicano for the expected result. Had Jai Herbert pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: -17Renato Moicano: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertRenato Moicano
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9701 067
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: -20Renato Moicano: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertRenato Moicano
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:344:34
Win Type ELO9711 224
ELO Change-20+31
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:34, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jai Herbert was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: -58Renato Moicano: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertRenato Moicano
Significant Strikes Landed726
Significant Strikes Attempted2541
Total Strikes Landed1861
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9101 013
ELO Change-58+58
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 18 total strikes, 26 vs 7 significant strikes, 63.4% vs 28.0% accuracy. Renato Moicano capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: -94Renato Moicano: +94

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertRenato Moicano
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted07
Ground Control Time0:087:35
Ground Strikes Landed023
Ground ELO8821 275
ELO Change-94+94
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano dominated Jai Herbert on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 7:35 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: -14Renato Moicano: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertRenato Moicano
Days Since Last Fight336196
Activity ELO9811 132
ELO Change-14+18
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Renato Moicano capitalized on this activity level, while Jai Herbert's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: -16Renato Moicano: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertRenato Moicano
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9751 092
ELO Change-16+18
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jai Herbert is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jai Herbert: -18Renato Moicano: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJai HerbertRenato Moicano
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9691 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.