August 2, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jai Herbert's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jai Herbert for the expected result. Had Rolando Bedoya pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Jai Herbert earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 82 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 178 | 199 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 890 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Jai Herbert controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 67 significant strikes, 46.1% vs 33.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jai Herbert capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:33 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 996 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Jai Herbert edged out Rolando Bedoya on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 378 | 343 |
| Activity ELO | 1 055 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -17 |
Jai Herbert demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jai Herbert capitalized on this activity level, while Rolando Bedoya's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Jai Herbert started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rolando Bedoya is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jai Herbert | Rolando Bedoya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

