August 14, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 305 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -34 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Junior Dos Santos.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 100 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:47 | 3:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 577 | 1 496 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -51 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 459 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 24 significant strikes, 63.6% vs 54.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 177 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 323 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -25 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this activity level, while Junior Dos Santos's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 137 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -30 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Junior Dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 094 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.