Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev

March 1, 2024

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1223
(+22)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Winner: Jairzinho Rozenstruik
KO/TKO
Round 4 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jairzinho Rozenstruik+22
Shamil Gaziev-20
1048
(-20)
Shamil Gaziev

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +22Shamil Gaziev: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Total UFC Fights132
Experience Gap11-11
Experience ELO1 2341 078
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Jairzinho Rozenstruik's 11-fight experience advantage (13 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jairzinho Rozenstruik for the expected result. Had Shamil Gaziev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +19Shamil Gaziev: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0781 006
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +19Shamil Gaziev: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricJairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round44
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4941 110
ELO Change+19-10
💡

What Happened

Jairzinho Rozenstruik gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +46Shamil Gaziev: -46

Performance Statistics

MetricJairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Significant Strikes Landed12722
Significant Strikes Attempted21568
Total Strikes Landed14027
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3901 090
ELO Change+46-46
💡

What Happened

Jairzinho Rozenstruik dominated the striking exchanges with 140 vs 27 total strikes, 127 vs 22 significant strikes, 59.1% vs 32.4% accuracy. Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +20Shamil Gaziev: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted17
Ground Control Time0:014:32
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 1181 057
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Jairzinho Rozenstruik did not secure a significant ground advantage against Shamil Gaziev on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +8Shamil Gaziev: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricJairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Days Since Last Fight29577
Activity ELO1 2791 021
ELO Change+8-8
💡

What Happened

Jairzinho Rozenstruik demonstrated standard activity with 295 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this activity level, while Shamil Gaziev's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +19Shamil Gaziev: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1171 012
ELO Change+19-17
💡

What Happened

Jairzinho Rozenstruik started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shamil Gaziev is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +19Shamil Gaziev: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0731 006
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.