August 16, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 263 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tai Tuivasa.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 501 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jairzinho Rozenstruik receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 91 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 126 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 408 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik dominated the striking exchanges with 92 vs 37 total strikes, 91 vs 37 significant strikes, 49.5% vs 29.4% accuracy. Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 129 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 311 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this activity level, while Tai Tuivasa's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 141 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tai Tuivasa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

