April 28, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Collier | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 923 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +30 |
Martin Buday overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Collier.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 948 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 004 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Martin Buday earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 98 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 207 | 177 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 145 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 885 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Martin Buday controlled the striking exchanges with 145 vs 107 total strikes, 55.4% vs 45.4% accuracy. Martin Buday capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:31 | 1:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 950 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Martin Buday edged out Jake Collier on the ground with 1:45 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Martin Buday demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Martin Buday capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Collier's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Martin Buday extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Collier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 947 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.