September 22, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Collier | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 903 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +35 |
Mohammed Usman overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Collier.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 932 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Mohammed Usman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 87 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 183 | 191 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 100 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 875 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
Mohammed Usman edged the striking exchanges. Mohammed Usman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 3:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 916 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Mohammed Usman controlled Jake Collier on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:07 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +33 |
Mohammed Usman demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mohammed Usman capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Collier's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 943 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +21 |
Mohammed Usman extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Collier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 932 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.