June 5, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Collier | Ricardo Abreu |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Ricardo Abreu |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Ricardo Abreu |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 967 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jake Collier receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Ricardo Abreu |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Jake Collier controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 47 significant strikes. Jake Collier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Ricardo Abreu |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 3:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 004 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jake Collier did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ricardo Abreu on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Ricardo Abreu |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 371 |
| Activity ELO | 1 019 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -24 |
Jake Collier demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Collier capitalized on this activity level, while Ricardo Abreu's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Ricardo Abreu |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Jake Collier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricardo Abreu is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Ricardo Abreu |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

