July 24, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 932 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Tom Aspinall overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Collier.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:45 | 0:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 993 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +124 |
Tom Aspinall secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:45 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 906 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Tom Aspinall controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 3 significant strikes, 100.0% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Aspinall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 987 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Tom Aspinall demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tom Aspinall capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Collier's 987-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Tom Aspinall started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Collier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

