Jake Collier vs Tom Aspinall

July 24, 2020

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

963
(-48)
Jake Collier
Winner: Tom Aspinall
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:45

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jake Collier-48
Tom Aspinall+58
1058
(+58)
Tom Aspinall

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Collier: -78Tom Aspinall: +78

Performance Statistics

MetricJake CollierTom Aspinall
Total UFC Fights71
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO9321 078
ELO Change-78+78
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Collier.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Collier: -21Tom Aspinall: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJake CollierTom Aspinall
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Collier: -47Tom Aspinall: +124

Performance Statistics

MetricJake CollierTom Aspinall
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:450:45
Win Type ELO9931 124
ELO Change-47+124
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:45 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Collier: -128Tom Aspinall: +128

Performance Statistics

MetricJake CollierTom Aspinall
Significant Strikes Landed310
Significant Strikes Attempted910
Total Strikes Landed310
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9061 128
ELO Change-128+128
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 3 significant strikes, 100.0% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Aspinall capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Collier: -47Tom Aspinall: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricJake CollierTom Aspinall
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9181 047
ELO Change-47+47
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Collier: -23Tom Aspinall: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJake CollierTom Aspinall
Days Since Last Fight987N/A
Activity ELO1 0051 023
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tom Aspinall capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Collier's 987-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Collier: -21Tom Aspinall: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJake CollierTom Aspinall
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9871 024
ELO Change-21+24
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Collier is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Collier: -21Tom Aspinall: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJake CollierTom Aspinall
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.