December 19, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Collier | Vitor Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Vitor Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Vitor Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +101 |
Vitor Miranda earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Vitor Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Jake Collier controlled the striking through superior accuracy (42.9% vs 66.7%). However, since Jake Collier lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Vitor Miranda's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Vitor Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:04 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 959 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Vitor Miranda did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jake Collier on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Vitor Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Vitor Miranda demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vitor Miranda capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Collier's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Vitor Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Vitor Miranda started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Collier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Collier | Vitor Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

