July 31, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -44 |
Jake Ellenberger overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Howard.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:21 | 2:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Jake Ellenberger gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 128 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Jake Ellenberger dominated the striking exchanges with 92 vs 42 total strikes, 38 vs 17 significant strikes. Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:04 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 211 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +140 | -140 |
Jake Ellenberger dominated John Howard on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 9:04 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 072 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Jake Ellenberger demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this activity level, while John Howard's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 035 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -26 |
Jake Ellenberger extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Howard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.