December 2, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +46 |
Jorge Masvidal overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Ellenberger.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:05 | 4:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 317 | 1 388 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +115 |
Jorge Masvidal earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 211 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 11 total strikes, 44 vs 11 significant strikes, 69.8% vs 35.5% accuracy. Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 133 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled Jake Ellenberger on the ground with 0:38 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 208 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +39 |
Jorge Masvidal demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Ellenberger's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Jorge Masvidal extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Ellenberger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.