February 27, 2015
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 178 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -28 |
Jake Ellenberger overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Koscheck.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 081 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 333 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -53 |
Jake Ellenberger earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:20, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Josh Koscheck was submitted.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 182 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Jake Ellenberger edged the striking exchanges with 15 vs 7 significant strikes, 28.8% vs 17.5% accuracy. Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 3:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Jake Ellenberger edged out Josh Koscheck on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:22 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 469 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -26 |
Jake Ellenberger demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Koscheck's 469-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 143 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Jake Ellenberger started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Koscheck is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.