May 31, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 164 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Martin Kampmann's 7-fight experience advantage (15 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Martin Kampmann for the expected result. Had Jake Ellenberger pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 272 | 1 397 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +88 |
Martin Kampmann gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 246 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -126 | +126 |
Jake Ellenberger controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (19 vs 13), 1 knockdown. However, since Jake Ellenberger lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Martin Kampmann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:08 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 324 | 1 358 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Martin Kampmann landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 107 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 207 | 1 317 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +45 |
Martin Kampmann demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Martin Kampmann capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Ellenberger's 107-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 158 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Martin Kampmann extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Ellenberger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Martin Kampmann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.