April 21, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +70 |
Mike Perry overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Ellenberger.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:05 | 1:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 258 | 1 287 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +121 |
Mike Perry gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 080 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -131 | +131 |
Mike Perry dominated the striking exchanges with 26 vs 17 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Mike Perry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Mike Perry did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jake Ellenberger on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 182 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +53 |
Mike Perry demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Perry capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Ellenberger's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Mike Perry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Ellenberger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.