January 1, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:22 | 0:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 088 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -48 |
Jake Ellenberger gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -114 |
Jake Ellenberger controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 5 significant strikes, 38.5% vs 62.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:38 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 071 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -102 |
Jake Ellenberger landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 109 | 109 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -25 |
Jake Ellenberger demonstrated solid activity levels with 109 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Pyle's 109-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Jake Ellenberger started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Pyle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.