March 15, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 220 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -33 |
Jake Ellenberger overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Marquardt.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 124 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:00 | 3:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 416 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | +133 | -59 |
Jake Ellenberger earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 369 | 1 284 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -119 |
Jake Ellenberger controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 385 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 163 | 728 |
| Activity ELO | 1 263 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Jake Ellenberger demonstrated solid activity levels with 163 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Marquardt's 728-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 192 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Jake Ellenberger extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Marquardt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Ellenberger | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 124 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.