Jake Ellenberger vs Stephen Thompson

July 11, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1140
(-42)
Jake Ellenberger
Winner: Stephen Thompson
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:29

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jake Ellenberger-42
Stephen Thompson+54
1216
(+54)
Stephen Thompson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Ellenberger: -35Stephen Thompson: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricJake EllenbergerStephen Thompson
Total UFC Fights157
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 1431 188
ELO Change-35+54
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What Happened

Stephen Thompson overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Ellenberger.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Ellenberger: -21Stephen Thompson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJake EllenbergerStephen Thompson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0601 103
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Ellenberger: -49Stephen Thompson: +105

Performance Statistics

MetricJake EllenbergerStephen Thompson
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:294:29
Win Type ELO1 2841 379
ELO Change-49+105
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What Happened

Stephen Thompson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:29, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Ellenberger: -86Stephen Thompson: +86

Performance Statistics

MetricJake EllenbergerStephen Thompson
Significant Strikes Landed520
Significant Strikes Attempted1435
Total Strikes Landed1429
Knockdowns Scored12
Striking ELO1 0961 417
ELO Change-86+86
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What Happened

Stephen Thompson dominated the striking exchanges with 20 vs 5 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 35.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Stephen Thompson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Ellenberger: -72Stephen Thompson: +72

Performance Statistics

MetricJake EllenbergerStephen Thompson
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:011:56
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO1 1321 224
ELO Change-72+72
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson landed 2 knockdowns followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Ellenberger: -28Stephen Thompson: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJake EllenbergerStephen Thompson
Days Since Last Fight134288
Activity ELO1 2251 166
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Stephen Thompson capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Ellenberger's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Ellenberger: -23Stephen Thompson: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricJake EllenbergerStephen Thompson
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 1201 148
ELO Change-23+44
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jake Ellenberger's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Ellenberger: -21Stephen Thompson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJake EllenbergerStephen Thompson
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0591 102
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.