Jake Hecht vs TJ Waldburger

March 1, 2012

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1022
(-29)
Jake Hecht
Winner: TJ Waldburger
Submission
Round 1 • 0:55

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jake Hecht-29
TJ Waldburger+38
1095
(+38)
TJ Waldburger

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Hecht: -36TJ Waldburger: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricJake HechtTJ Waldburger
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0491 066
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

TJ Waldburger's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding TJ Waldburger for the expected result. Had Jake Hecht pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Hecht: -21TJ Waldburger: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJake HechtTJ Waldburger
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0021 044
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Hecht: -46TJ Waldburger: +98

Performance Statistics

MetricJake HechtTJ Waldburger
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:550:55
Win Type ELO1 0671 181
ELO Change-46+98
💡

What Happened

TJ Waldburger locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:55 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Hecht: -36TJ Waldburger: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricJake HechtTJ Waldburger
Significant Strikes Landed23
Significant Strikes Attempted53
Total Strikes Landed23
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0481 074
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

TJ Waldburger slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. TJ Waldburger capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Hecht: -31TJ Waldburger: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricJake HechtTJ Waldburger
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:030:06
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9971 220
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Hecht: -20TJ Waldburger: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricJake HechtTJ Waldburger
Days Since Last Fight83168
Activity ELO1 0061 077
ELO Change-20+35
💡

What Happened

TJ Waldburger demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, TJ Waldburger capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Hecht's 83-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Hecht: -21TJ Waldburger: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJake HechtTJ Waldburger
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0051 053
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

TJ Waldburger extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Hecht is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Hecht: -21TJ Waldburger: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJake HechtTJ Waldburger
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0021 044
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.